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Scaling Laws

Explore the concept of scaling laws in large language models, examining how increasing model parameters, dataset size, and compute power predictably improves performance. Understand the trade-offs involved, including diminishing returns, optimal data-to-model ratios, and compute allocation strategies, to make informed decisions about model scaling and training efficiency.

“What is the scaling law?” is a common interview question at leading AI labs and for good reason. Interviewers ask this to probe your grasp of how model performance scales with resources. They want to see that you understand the trade-offs in making models bigger, feeding them more data, and using more compute. In other words, can you discuss how scaling up a model affects its efficiency, performance gains, and practical costs? Top companies expect candidates to appreciate that larger models can perform better, but also understand how and why, including the concept of diminishing returns and the planning of training resources.

Such questions test your high-level understanding of model scaling strategies. They’re looking for awareness that beyond a certain point, simply throwing more parameters or data at a model has trade-offs. For instance, do you know how much performance gain to expect by doubling the model size? How should model and dataset sizes grow together for optimal training? By asking about scaling laws, interviewers check if you understand the empirical rules-of-thumb governing efficient scaling of LLMs—an area crucial for designing state-of-the-art systems under fixed budgets.

What are scaling laws, and why do they matter for LLMs?

At its core, scaling laws refer to the remarkably predictable improvements in model performance as we scale up three key factors:

  • Model size (number of parameters NN)

  • Dataset size (number of tokens DD)

  • Compute (training FLOPs CC or training time)

In large language models, researchers have found that as you increase NN, DD, or CC, the test loss (or perplexity) drops following a power-law curve. In other words, model quality improves smoothly and reliably as you make the model bigger, train on more data, and spend more compute. This was first demonstrated in a seminal 2020 paper by Kaplan et al. (OpenAI) and has been observed across multiple orders of scale. Mathematically, these relationships can be sketched as power laws.

For example, one can write the loss LL as a function of model size, roughly as:

Similarly, of dataset size is:

Finally, for compute:

Where α,β,γ>0\alpha,\beta, \gamma > 0 are scaling exponents. Here a,ca,c are constants (with ...